Client: Kentuckians for the Commonwealth, Kentucky Solar Energy Society, Metropolitan Housing Coalition, and Mountain Association
Authors: Liz Stanton, PhD
June 2025
Principal Economist Elizabeth A. Stanton, PhD, submitted direct testimony before the Kentucky Public Service Commission to assess the load forecasting assumptions utilized in the 2025 request for approval for Certificates of Public Convenience and Necessity (CPCN) filed by Louisville Gas and Electric Company and Kentucky Utilities Company (LG&E-KU) in Kentucky PSC Case No. 2025-00045. In her testimony, Dr. Stanton reviews the Companies’ 2025 CPCN Load Forecast and assesses the methodology, assumptions, and findings of their economic development growth forecast, particularly as they related to projected growth in data centers.
Dr. Stanton recommends that the Companies employ a short-term forecast of new data center and other large customer load based on concrete evidence that there is a high likelihood that such load will actually come online, while discounting or excluding possible large customer load that is merely speculative or has a low likelihood of materializing, and presents an alternative framework for using probability weighting to forecast future load growth from data centers.